What will the price of Doctor Blight do, should I sell it or keep it? / I'm really lucky! ✨

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So I managed to get one voucher and bought 1 pack in the presale...

Of the 5 cards 4 of them were Rare! Thats pretty good right?

Screenshot 20211208 at 11.16.45.png

And not only that, I went to check the airdop and I also got Doctor Blight with my 1 in 50 chance!

Screenshot 20211210 at 15.27.41.png

When I claimed it, it was worth $143, now its down to $130. By my calculations there will be 100,000 of them available over the whole presale event, so do you think the price will drop massively, or should I keep hold of it? I could do with the money but I don't know if I'll regret it or not 🤷🏻‍♂️

Any thoughts?

Thanks alot
@gogeye

hive-13323 splintertalk splinterlands blight presale
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Congrats on your great luck in getting a Doctor Blight from only one pack purchased!

How did you calculate that there will be 100,000 Doctor Blight cards from the pre-sale event? The drop rate of Doctor Blight is 1 in 50 packs and only about 1 million total packs (including bonus packs) were sold in the pre-sale. That's only 20,000 Doctor Blight cards.

There was apparently some confusion about how the guaranteed card for every 50 packs bought would work and it seems it was only coded as a guaranteed minimum received and not an additional number of cards as some thought.

Even if the guaranteed Doctor Blight for each 50 packs was stacked with the 1 in 50 airdrop chance, the maximum number of cards would still be only 40,000 (if every single person bought in increments of 50, which they didn't).

Currently, there are only 13,558 in circulation and I don't expect it to go much higher than 20,000. It will certainly be the rarest Chaos Legion legendary card once the whole 15 million pack release is done. So far about 681,000 packs have been opened and most other Legendaries show a circulation of 2,300 each so far. Multiply that by 22 (15,000,000 packs/681,000 opened) and you get a final circulation of 50,600 for each Chaos Legion legendary besides Doctor Blight.

!PIZZA

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Thanks! OK, interesting.

I thought 2 million packs were sold in the first presale, and another 3 millions currently being sold in the current presale. 5 million, which is where I got the 100,000 number. Guess not

Its already gone down to $120 from $140 though, but I will probably keep hold of it anyway

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Yeah I’m surprised it keeps dropping. I’ve been buying more below $140 and hope that once people realize how rare it is that it will go back up. But who knows, it’s all just a guess on my part.

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