Community-Based Audit of a Weird Battle

avatar

Hi SplinterLanders!

So I ran into this post on our discord channel #epic-battles, @ https://discord.com/channels/447924793048825866/476825254531039233/856616182668460123

I found the claim of an issue interesting, so as a service to our community, I wanted to parse the battle results data from the game API. From the raw data, you can review all the randomly generated values and confirm that none reached below the chance level. For example, if your chancel to hit is at 10%, then the randomly generated value needs to be 0.10 or lower to register a hit.

So here's a condensed list, with annotations, of all the misses from the battle results data. To summarize, Hero was unlucky, since in 19 attempts with a hit chance that varied from 10% to 20%, you would expect at worst case 2 hits in 20 attempts. If we had the battle engine to run using the published RNG seed @ "seed": "bd76ab307e128a9d5828fa8bc0d0d188", we could reproduce the random value generation to confirm.

                    "type": "ranged attack",
                    "result": "miss",   <=== 1st miss
                    "hit_chance": 0.19999999999999996, 
                    "hit_val": 0.8749414046996248,  
                    "initiator": "C4-295-05LQ0DH71S",  <=== Hero of Beyond
                    "target": "C1-64-FD870V41AO",  <=== Cocatrice

                    "type": "ranged attack",
                    "result": "miss",
                    "hit_chance": 0.09999999999999998,
                    "hit_val": 0.11112831390201366,
                    "initiator": "C4-295-05LQ0DH71S",
                    "target": "C1-64-FD870V41AO",

                    "result": "miss",
                    "hit_chance": 0.09999999999999998,
                    "hit_val": 0.4971064445523127,
                    "initiator": "C4-295-05LQ0DH71S",
                    "target": "C1-64-FD870V41AO",

                    "result": "miss",
                    "hit_chance": 0.19999999999999996,
                    "hit_val": 0.5678025230804004,
                    "initiator": "C4-295-05LQ0DH71S",
                    "target": "C1-64-FD870V41AO",

                    "result": "miss",
                    "hit_chance": 0.19999999999999996,
                    "hit_val": 0.9563905463938783,
                    "initiator": "C4-295-05LQ0DH71S",
                    "target": "C1-64-FD870V41AO",

                    "result": "miss",
                    "hit_chance": 0.19999999999999996,
                    "hit_val": 0.2888610833896314,
                    "initiator": "C4-295-05LQ0DH71S",
                    "target": "C1-64-FD870V41AO",

                    "result": "miss",
                    "hit_chance": 0.19999999999999996,
                    "hit_val": 0.611052888964279,
                    "initiator": "C4-295-05LQ0DH71S",
                    "target": "C1-64-FD870V41AO",

                    "result": "miss",
                    "hit_chance": 0.19999999999999996,
                    "hit_val": 0.6797592866770504,
                    "initiator": "C4-295-05LQ0DH71S",
                    "target": "C1-64-FD870V41AO",

                    "result": "miss",
                    "hit_chance": 0.19999999999999996,
                    "hit_val": 0.6385578706945989,
                    "initiator": "C4-295-05LQ0DH71S",
                    "target": "C1-64-FD870V41AO",

                    "result": "miss",
                    "hit_chance": 0.19999999999999996,
                    "hit_val": 0.21990242798210405,
                    "initiator": "C4-295-05LQ0DH71S",
                    "target": "C1-64-FD870V41AO",

                    "result": "miss",
                    "hit_chance": 0.19999999999999996,
                    "hit_val": 0.2952764149506048,
                    "initiator": "C4-295-05LQ0DH71S",
                    "target": "C1-64-FD870V41AO",

                    "result": "miss",
                    "hit_chance": 0.19999999999999996,
                    "hit_val": 0.9228106768180532,
                    "initiator": "C4-295-05LQ0DH71S",
                    "target": "C1-64-FD870V41AO",

                    "result": "miss",
                    "hit_chance": 0.19999999999999996,
                    "hit_val": 0.43638778873065937,
                    "initiator": "C4-295-05LQ0DH71S",
                    "target": "C1-64-FD870V41AO",

                    "result": "miss",
                    "hit_chance": 0.19999999999999996,
                    "hit_val": 0.6247123142257391,
                    "initiator": "C4-295-05LQ0DH71S",
                    "target": "C1-64-FD870V41AO",

                    "result": "miss",
                    "hit_chance": 0.19999999999999996,
                    "hit_val": 0.9316611311457125,
                    "initiator": "C4-295-05LQ0DH71S",
                    "target": "C1-64-FD870V41AO",

                    "result": "miss",
                    "hit_chance": 0.19999999999999996,
                    "hit_val": 0.310976157321723,
                    "initiator": "C4-295-05LQ0DH71S",
                    "target": "C1-64-FD870V41AO",

                    "result": "miss",
                    "hit_chance": 0.19999999999999996,
                    "hit_val": 0.6386315130028101,
                    "initiator": "C4-295-05LQ0DH71S",
                    "target": "C1-64-FD870V41AO",

                    "result": "miss",
                    "hit_chance": 0.19999999999999996,
                    "hit_val": 0.559689356906629,
                    "initiator": "C4-295-05LQ0DH71S",
                    "target": "C1-64-FD870V41AO",

                    "result": "miss",
                    "hit_chance": 0.19999999999999996,
                    "hit_val": 0.8408826499720943,
                    "initiator": "C4-295-05LQ0DH71S",
                    "target": "C1-64-FD870V41AO",


0
0
0.000
0 comments